Pesic: The elections have shown the division within French society, five scenarios for the new government

Sasa Pesic, the president of the association "All Serbs in Paris," stated that the election results in France have shown the extent of societal division and that there are five scenarios regarding the formation of the new government. However, he believes that France is unlikely to change its policy towards Serbia.

"These parliamentary elections have shown another division in French society. After social and ethnic divisions, we see that France is divided into three blocs. One bloc is led by President Emmanuel Macron, the second is a leftist bloc and coalition of left-wing forces, and the third is the National Rally. The results are somewhat unexpected, knowing that all projections and research indicated that the National Rally would garner the most votes. This is the result of a tacit support between Emmanuel Macron and the Left Center," Pesic told Kosovo Online.

He emphasizes that there are five scenarios for how the new French government could be formed.

"The first scenario is that the National Rally, which won the most votes despite not having an absolute majority, forms the government. The second scenario is that Emmanuel Macron and his party form a minority government with the support of the Republicans. The third scenario is that Macron, similar to Germany, forms a government with the Republicans and Socialists who are part of the National Rally but also brought him up as a politician since he was the Minister of Economy in Hollande's government. The fourth scenario is that we have a technical government that would continue the mandate, and the final scenario is that France enters an institutional crisis, potentially leading to new elections in the foreseeable future," says Pesic.

If Emmanuel Macron's party remains in power, Pesic does not expect a change in policy towards Serbia.

"France will not radically change its policy regarding Serbia. Had the National Rally at least had a relative majority, some things might have changed, perhaps not radically and not in the foreseeable future. We know that the National Rally already has a few prominent politicians of Serbian origin, such as Aleksandar Nikolic, Stefan Milosevic, and Andrej Kotarac. Unfortunately, they did not manage to win parliamentary seats in the second round. However, on the left side, we have Mélenchon, who in recent years, particularly in 2018, stated that Kosovo is not a closed issue and that Kosovo is an integral part of Serbia," Pesic points out.