Baraliu: The most likely scenario is the formation of a minority government until the 2026 presidential elections

University professor from Pristina, Mazllum Baraliu, told Kosovo Online that he does not believe Kosovo will face a "Bulgarian scenario" with repeated elections, but said that the most probable outcome is the formation of a minority government with a mandate limited until April next year, when presidential elections are scheduled.

"I don't believe in the 'Bulgarian scenario' because it was quite serious. They had four or five election cycles in just two years. However, forming a new government will be difficult. Any government that is formed will be a minority government with a short-term nature. It will most likely last until April next year when a new president is elected. Whatever government is in place at that time will need a two-thirds majority in parliament to elect the president," Baraliu stated.

He believes that the opposition is capable of forming such a government but notes that the Self-Determination Movement could also achieve this.

"It will be difficult, but I think the opposition could form such a minority government if they reach an agreement. However, the winning party, the Self-Determination Movement, could also do so in coalition with other parties," Baraliu said.

If a new government is not formed, the analyst believes that the deadlock in the Belgrade-Pristina dialogue will continue.

"Until a new government and institutions are constituted, nothing in foreign policy can be implemented. We need to wait for political parties, which currently have disagreements, conflicts, and political rivalries, to reach an agreement to form a government in the interest of Kosovo's citizens," the analyst emphasized.

He believes that all options are on the table, but that much depends on the political will to establish a new government.

For this reason, he does not rule out the possibility of a coalition between the Self-Determination and the Democratic Party of Kosovo (PDK).

"I even think a coalition between the Self-Determination and one of the opposition parties, primarily the PDK, is possible. This could form a stable government that might last much longer than a year," Baraliu concluded.